What are the chances of pregnancy without a condom and no ejaculation?

Yes: The sexual fluids produced by an erect penis contain healthy swimmers (sperm) apart from the "main load" .It will have the potential to pass a healthy sperm into the vaginal entrance ; from there gain access to & fertilize an egg.To avoid pregnancy you must have your barrier in place to trap these fluids before they begin to leak.The pull out method is baby roulette.

Small: There can be a drip from the penis of semen but the chances are small for pregnancy.