Positive OPK 1-21 and 1-22 ovulation pain 1-22 what day will I most likely have ovulated?

Trust the pain. I would err on trusting the pain. But, if you are trying to get pregnant the issue is not the specific day, but getting sperm into the vagina on the five days before ovulation. So, whether ovulation occurs on the 21st or 22nd, you should be getting exposed to sperm on the 16th through the 22nd.